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Climate, Health Impacts, and Social Costs of Electric Vehicles in China: A Cost-Benefit Analysis
HU Yuhan, JIN Yana, ZHANG Shiqiu
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2021, 57 (5): 916-926.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2021.068
Abstract929)   HTML    PDF(pc) (875KB)(202)       Save
By applying the probabilistic benefit-cost analysis with Monte Carlo simulation, this study reveals the energy- and life-cycle climate and pollution-related health impacts, and various social costs in China of gasoline-to-electric vehicle (GV-to-EV) substitutions. Key factors influencing these estimates are also elicited. Results indicate that a GV-to-EV substitution can annually achieve benefits of 324 yuan on climate, 343 yuan on health, and 4315 yuan on energy savings in the energy cycle under current technical conditions and the dynamics of power grid development. However, these benefits are offset by the incremental manufacturing cost (16000 yuan/car-year), and the social welfare improvement over the life cycle is negative in the short run. This study highlights the importance of prioritizing GV-to-EV substitutions only in areas with high health, climate, and energy-saving benefits.
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Evaluation of Health and Economic Benefits from “Coal to Electricity” Policy in the Residential Sector in the Jing-Jin-Ji Region
ZHANG Xiang, DAI Hancheng, JIN Yana, ZHANG Shiqiu
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2019, 55 (2): 367-376.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2018.098
Abstract1218)   HTML    PDF(pc) (2243KB)(212)       Save

This study evaluated the impacts to the air quality, health and economy from achieving the “coal to electricity” goals, replacing residential coal with clean energy such as electricity, in the Jing-Jin-Ji region (Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei) during the 13th Five-Year period under different heating technology choices and electricity supply sources based on an integrated model combining with scenario analysis. The results indicated that the PM2.5 concentration in the three regions reduced by 6–15 μg/m3 with the implementation of the residential “coal to electricity” policy, which can avoid 22.2 thousand cases of premature death and 607.8 thousand morbidity cases. It could create 18.73–19.87 billion Yuan social net benefits in the Jing-Jin-Ji region in 2020 if three regions achieved the policy goal under the same pathway. Based on the net benefit analysis of three regions, this study gave the policy implication that Beijing and Hebei should adopt the “air source heating pump with the renewable electricity supply” pathway, while the Tianjin should adopt the “regenerative electric heater with the renewable electricity supply” pathway. The net benefits would reach to 20.34 billion Yuan if all three regions implemented the plans that maximized their own net benefits.

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